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The Team House ·Sep 17, 2026 ·51 min

Is America's Influence Eroding? | EYES ON GEOPOLITICS

Evaluation and Summary

7.4/10

The Team House assembles a panel of geopolitical experts—including Mick Mulroy (former CIA/DoD), Andy Milburn (former Marine), and others—to examine whether American influence in the Middle East and globally is genuinely eroding. The episode opens with Russia's evolving espionage tactics: using gig-economy recruits and online networks to conduct assassination and violence operations, a shift from Cold War proxy models. The hosts explore how foreign governments hire proxies for targeted killings and how intelligence services gradually escalate vulnerable recruits through online channels. They pivot to Iran's strategic gains, noting that U.S. bases across the Middle East have sustained growing damage, with the Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain described as "effectively abandoned." The discussion questions whether deterrence against Iran has failed and whether Iran has strategically defeated the U.S. in the region. A major focus is the Houthis' control over maritime chokepoints—particularly the Strait of Hormuz—and their leverage despite U.S. military presence. The hosts examine the Mecca Agreement and tensions around who struck Mecca, alongside Saudi Arabia's secret counter-Iran programs. The episode devotes substantial time to the messy legacy of U.S. proxy warfare in Syria, including the Timber Sycamore program, the myth of "moderate rebels," the absurdity of buying Syrian rebels Xboxes, and failed attempts to recover U.S. TOW missiles from warlords. They discuss Assad's use of fear as a weapon and why the Houthis aren't simply Iranian puppets. The final segments cover regional hedging: Saudi vs. Emirati proxy forces in Yemen, Oman's diplomatic role, JSOC operations, failed U.S. strikes during the Soleimani operation, and the UAE's lucrative contracts for former U.S. intelligence personnel to train elite units. The overarching theme is that American power is fragmenting—regional actors are diversifying partnerships, proxy networks are becoming autonomous, and traditional deterrence models are breaking down.

Verdict: A substantive, expert-driven geopolitical analysis that delivers squarely on its title with nuanced discussion of proxy warfare, regional power shifts, and American decline—well-researched and information-dense, though audio quality and pacing cannot be fully verified from notes alone.

History rubric

  • Research depth 4/5 20%

    Panel includes credentialed experts (former CIA, DoD, Marines) discussing specific operations (Timber Sycamore, Soleimani strike, TOW missile recovery) with granular detail; relies on insider knowledge rather than primary documents, but sho

  • Storytelling 3/5 20%

    Show notes reveal a logical structure moving from espionage tactics to regional power shifts to proxy warfare legacies, but without audio access, engagement level is unclear; the topics are inherently compelling but pacing and narrative arc

  • Context and nuance 4/5 15%

    Episode avoids simple 'America vs. Iran' framing; acknowledges Houthis aren't mere proxies, explores regional hedging by Saudi/UAE/Oman, discusses failed deterrence and unintended consequences of proxy programs, and examines complexity of A

  • Substance 4/5 15%

    51 minutes packed with specific case studies (Timber Sycamore, TOW missiles, Mecca Agreement, JSOC operations, UAE mercenary contracts), multiple regional actors analyzed, and concrete examples (Xboxes for rebels, Fifth Fleet abandonment);

  • Delivers on its title 5/5 15%

    Title 'Is America's Influence Eroding?' is directly answered through systematic examination of military presence decline, failed deterrence, regional hedging, proxy autonomy, and strategic losses in the Middle East—the episode comprehensive

  • Value for time 4/5 15%

    51 minutes covers espionage, Iran strategy, Houthis, Syria legacy, Yemen factions, and UAE operations with expert commentary; dense with information and specific examples, though some segments (e.g., closing plugs) add minor padding.

How we score History

Worth it if you follow Middle East geopolitics, want insider perspective on U.S. military strategy failures, or are interested in how proxy networks and intelligence operations actually function beyond mainstream media narratives.

Based on the episode description. AI-generated; it can be wrong.

Show notes

We break down Russia’s use of gig-economy recruits and online networks for espionage and violence, the growing damage to U.S. bases across the Middle East, and what Iran may be gaining strategically from the conflict. We also discuss the Houthis’ leverage over another maritime choke point, the messy legacy of U.S. proxy warfare in Syria, and how Saudi, Emirati, Omani, and other regional actors are hedging as American influence erodes. Support the show on Patreon:⬇️ https://www.patreon.com/TheTeamHouse Jack's news outlet:⬇️ https://thehighside.substack.com/ Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️ Jon's Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett Jon's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett Jon's books: https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?ccs_id=e11a2062-f8d3-498e-bfd7-7d2f3869caf6 Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett Check out Mick's new podcast here:⬇️ Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/at/podcast/pub-and-porch-applied-stoicism/id1836955475 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1k3QPmkAMwnGJxMLDwUSSd?si=n6piIu8XRcag1Z0K43A3bQ Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCd0Hq6QFk8CoTu5j-VU0Ong  Find Mick Mulroy here:  Fogbow ⬇️ https://fogbow.com/ Lobo Institute ⬇️ https://www.loboinstitute.org/ Twitter ⬇️ https://x.com/mickmulroy?s=21&t=-Ze3F_Ix2vlJ18KFvORTCA LinkedIn ⬇️ https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-patrick-mulroy-31198b52/ Whitefish security summit ⬇️ https://whitefishsecuritysummit.com Find Marc P here: https://x.com/Mpolymer Find Andy Milburn here:  Twitter ⬇️ https://twitter.com/i/flow/login?redirect_after_login=%2Fandymilburn8 LinkedIn ⬇️ https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023 Substack ⬇️ https://amilburn.substack.com/ Andy’s book ⬇️ https://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations 00:00 – Start 01:05 – Russia’s New Gig-Economy Espionage Model 02:36 – Foreign Governments Hiring Proxies for Assassinations 03:18 – Russian Online Networks & Recruitment for Violence 05:00 – The KGB’s History of Using Terrorist Proxies 06:11 – Is Russia Directing Online Chaos? 07:24 – Chinese Influence, Ghost Guns & Suspicious Networks in the U.S. 09:20 – Accelerationism & Using Chaos as a Weapon 10:14 – Recruiting Vulnerable People Online 11:20 – How Intelligence Services Slowly Escalate Recruits 12:27 – Iran Recruiting Israelis Through Fake Relationships 14:03 – The Damage to U.S. Bases Across the Middle East 15:06 – Fifth Fleet Headquarters in Bahrain Is Effectively Abandoned 15:59 – Losing America’s Foothold Inside the Strait of Hormuz 16:41 – Did the Pentagon Expect Its Gulf Bases to Get Hit? 18:34 – Why Deterrence Against Iran Failed 19:32 – Has Iran Strategically Defeated the U.S.? 20:50 – What Would It Actually Take to Defeat Iran? 21:21 – Iran’s Likely Endgame in the Strait of Hormuz 23:19 – Gulf States Are Beginning to Hedge Away From Washington 24:47 – Houthis Threaten a Second Maritime Choke Point 25:39 – Why the U.S. Is Now Talking Directly to the Houthis 27:23 – Houthis Say Saudi Shipping Is the Target 27:58 – The Mecca Agreement Is Already Being Tested 28:56 – Who Actually Struck Mecca? 30:08 – Saudi Arabia’s Secret Counter-Iran Programs 31:26 – The Gig Economy of Proxy Warfare 32:35 – Timber Sycamore & the Chaos of the Syrian War 34:45 – The Myth of the “Moderate Rebels” 36:30 – When the U.S. Bought Syrian Rebels Xboxes 37:05 – Trying to Get U.S. TOW Missiles Back From Warlords 37:43 – Did the TOW Missile Program Actually Work? 39:21 – Assad’s Intelligence Services & Fear as a Weapon 40:52 – Why the Houthis Aren’t Simply Iranian Proxies 42:11 – Who Was Operating the Captured Saudi Equipment? 43:32 – Saudi vs. Emirati Proxy Forces in Yemen 43:59 – Oman’s Role in the Yemen & Hormuz Crisis 45:50 – JSOC Operations in Eastern Yemen 46:32 – The Failed U.S. Strike in Yemen During the Soleimani Operation 47:24 – Could Yemen’s Rival Factions Be Turned Against Each Other? 47:30 – UAE Mercenaries & Covert Operations in Yemen 48:14 – The UAE’s Huge Paydays for Former U.S. Intelligence Personnel 48:45 – Foreign Officers Running Emirati Elite Units 49:00 – Training the UAE Presidential Guard 50:36 – Closing Thoughts 51:02 – American Insurgent & Final Plug 51:29 – End Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support .

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